On a strain-structured epidemic model

نویسندگان

  • Angel Calsina
  • J'ozsef Z. Farkas
چکیده

We introduce and investigate an SIS-type model for the spread of an infectious disease, where the infected population is structured with respect to the different strain of the virus/bacteria they are carrying. Our aim is to capture the interesting scenario when individuals infected with different strains cause secondary (new) infections at different rates. Therefore, we consider a nonlinear infection process, which generalises the bilinear process arising from the classic mass-action assumption. Our main motivation is to study competition between different strains of a virus/bacteria. From the mathematical point of view, we are interested whether the nonlinear infection process leads to a well-posed model. We use a semilinear formulation to show global existence and positivity of solutions up to a critical value of the exponent in the nonlinearity. Furthermore, we establish the existence of the endemic steady state for particular classes of nonlinearities.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

An age-structured two-strain epidemic model with super-infection.

This article focuses on the study of an age-structured two-strain model with super-infection. The explicit expression of basic reproduction numbers and the invasion reproduction numbers corresponding to strain one and strain two are obtained. It is shown that the infection-free steady state is globally stable if the basic reproductive number R(0) is below one. Existence of strain one and strain...

متن کامل

ON THE STABILITY AND THRESHOLD ANALYSIS OF AN EPIDEMIC MODEL

We consider a mathematical model of epidemic spread  in which the  population  is partitioned  into five compartments of susceptible S(t), Infected I(t), Removed R(t), Prevented U(t) and the Controlled W(t). We assume each of the compartments comprises of cohorts of individuals which are  identical with respect to the disease status. We derive five systems of equations to represent each of the ...

متن کامل

Structured parametric epidemic models

A stage-structured model for a theoretical epidemic process that incorporates immature, susceptible and infectious individual in independent stages is formulated. In this analysis, an input interpreted as a birth function is considered. The structural identifiability is studied using the Markov parameters. Then, the unknown parameters are uniquely determined by the output structure correspondin...

متن کامل

A review on West African Ebola epidemic dynamics models

Background and aims: The world is threatened by disease outbreak that reaches a public health emergency of international concern, studies to inform public and agencies for effective containment strategy are necessary. Several studies provided vital information of the dynamics and control of Ebola epidemic outbreak in West Africa. Methodologies and techniques in those researches...

متن کامل

A non-autonomous multi-strain SIS epidemic model.

In this paper we consider a non-autonomous multi-strain SIS epidemic model with periodic coefficients. Reproduction numbers and invasion reproduction numbers are derived which agree well with their counterparts usually derived from autonomous epidemic models. With conditions on these reproduction numbers typical results are obtained, such as the local and global stability of the disease-free eq...

متن کامل

Influenza vaccine strain selection strategies

Currently, the influenza vaccine is updated only when there is at least a 4-fold difference [measured by the hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assay] between the current vaccine strain and an expected epidemic strain. It is not clear if this is the optimal strategy, especially for individuals vaccinated every year. Using a computer model, we determined the vaccine efficacy resulting from 12 diff...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2015